ஜூனியர் விகடனை நம்பிய அதிமுக ஜால்ராப் பதிவர்கள் மற்றும் சோ ராமசாமி மற்றும் ரஜினியின் கணக்கு எல்லாமே தப்பு கணக்காகி நிற்கிறது, பாவம்!!
இந்தப் பதிவை தோண்டி எடுக்க உதவி செய்த விஜெஆர் பதிவுக்கு நன்றி!
இங்கே இருக்கு இந்தியா டுடே காப்பி பேஸ்ட் ஆர்ட்டிக்கிள்!
Headlines Today-ORG: Karunanidhi gains, Jaya slips in post-poll survey
Will it be Amma or Kalaignar? It's exactly 15 days to judgment day, but Headlines Today-ORG post-poll survey points the Tamil Nadu election could go either way.
The range of seats both DMK and AIADMK are projected to get in the survey indicates that there has been a significant change in the position where Jayalalithaa seemed almost certain to win the poll battle. Karunanidhi's party seems to have gained a lot of lost ground in the last 15 days of campaigning.According to the projections, DMK and its partners are likely to win 115-130 seats, while AIADMK+ are likely to manage just 105-120. That might be a loss of 33 to 48 seats for the DMK, but it would just be enough to hold on to power. And despite the likelihood of Jaya's camp bagging 36 to 51 seats extra, Amma may not take the oath of office come the ides of May.
Interestingly, the DMK seems to have recovered lost territory in the last leg of the battle. The survey threw up some interesting statistics. During the Opinion Poll, 45 % amongst the rural voters intended voting for the DMK+. But after the elections, 50% have indicated they have voted for the DMK +, and 48 % for the AIADMK +.
For years large subaltern support base formed the DMK's backbone. Its loss was seen as the party's Achilles heel. But a 5% shift in trend in rural Tamil Nadu in the last three weeks could turn this election on its head.
In terms of vote share, there's a 3% swing in DMK's favour as compared to the 2006 Assembly elections. The party is expected to get 48% votes in 2011.
The swing, as per the projections, will be 7% for the AIADMK and its allies. But, at 47% that will still be 1% short of DMK's share.
நன்றி: இந்தியா டுடே!